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Canada’s Budgetary Watchdog Warns Over Trudeau’s Spending

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Trudeau, Canada, Debt

Canada’s Parliamentary Budget Office reports the Trudeau government has exceeded a self-imposed fiscal limit and is warning about the ramifications of postponing the release of final spending and revenue figures.

Yves Giroux, Canada’s parliamentary budget officer, predicts a C$46.8 billion deficit for the federal government in fiscal year 2023-24.

That exceeds Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland’s C$40 billion prediction in the April budget and would violate a crucial budgetary pledge she made to prove her party’s spending restraint.

The Trudeau administration has until the end of the year to provide the figures, but it typically reveals them in October, as it did last year.

The delay raises the possibility that the figures are lower than expected, complicating Trudeau’s efforts to reestablish his party’s popularity among Canadians.

According to Giroux, the holdup “goes against fiscal transparency and accountability” and forces parliamentarians to vote on and approve spending and tax proposals worth hundreds of billions of dollars without understanding the country’s finances.

The figures are finalized after the fiscal year’s revenue and spending tallies are totaled, and the time required to accomplish that procedure varies.

Canada’s legislative budget office has been vociferous about establishing a clear release date for fiscal data, recommending a deadline of September 30 each year rather than allowing the incumbent government to hand up the final total when convenient for them.

The Trudeau administration has also yet to declare when it intends to provide an update on Canada’s current and future fiscal and debt issuance picture, which has traditionally been delivered as an autumn economic statement.

This is often a mini-budget outlining predicted changes in spending and revenue, and it may also include the final 2023-24 figures.

Mr Giroux, who became the country’s third parliamentary budget officer in 2018, noted that the Liberals chose the government’s budgetary guardrails. Failure to fulfill those benchmarks may undermine trust in the eyes of Canadians, but he does not expect significant market implications.

At a news conference on Tuesday, Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Chrystia claimed she had nothing to say about the fall economic update.

She states that her administration “is committed to being a responsible manager of the country’s economy and finances.”

Economists pressed Freeland to rein in government expenditure. She announced her fiscal anchor in last November’s fall economic statement, promising to keep the 2023-24 deficit at or below the C$40.1 billion predicted in the 2023 budget while sustaining a falling deficit-to-GDP ratio.

According to the Fraser Institute, deficits under Justin Trudeau helped boost federal gross debt from 53.0% of the economy in 2015 to an expected 69.8% ($1.5 trillion) in 2024.

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Travellers Pissed at Air Canada Over New Baggage Fees

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Air Canada, Baggage Fees
Travellers angery over Air Canada imposing new surcharges on low-cost flights

Air Canada’s decision to charge new fees on budget fares has angered travellers and industry experts, who argue the airline unfairly burdens passengers with additional costs.

Travellers, industry insiders, and the federal government have criticized Air Canada for imposing new surcharges on low-cost flights, claiming the airline is unjustly burdening consumers with extra expenses.

Beginning January 3, 2025, the first carry-on bag for passengers using Air Canada’s basic-economy fare within North America will cost $35, and each additional bag will cost $50. Purses, laptop bags, and any small belongings that fit beneath the seat are free.

Additionally, by the end of February, checked baggage taxes on domestic and some international flights will rise to $35 to $42 for the first bag and $50 to $60 for the second.

“That is awful. An airline passenger, Nico Arellano, told CTV News, “The prices are getting pretty intense, and the service isn’t getting any better.” “I have two children — a baby and a toddler — and we have to bring all their essentials and pay extra for that; for families, it’s unacceptable.”

Air Canada checked baggage fee

While premium enhancements like seats with more legroom will still be more expensive, the new policy also adds fees for seat selection and modifications for low-cost passengers.

“At this time, I don’t choose seats. Kinsenge Mbaga, travelling from Ottawa to Fredericton, states, “I would like to travel as economically as possible.” “Baggage, particularly carry-on, is perhaps the fee that irritates me the most.

It is pleasant when they’re not included with the ticket, which should be standard. It should be possible to bring one or two bags, but this isn’t always the case, and occasionally, being at the gate will cost you more.”

The airline’s new restrictions have drawn criticism from Transport Minister Anita Anand, who described them as a “cash grab” that harms Canadians who already face increased travel expenses.

Air Canada, meanwhile, defended its choice, claiming that the levies are required to offset growing labour and operating expenses.

While travellers buying higher-tier fares would continue to enjoy free baggage allowances, the airline noted that comparable tariffs are already in effect with several international carriers.

Critics contend that the surcharges unfairly affect visitors on a tight budget and could result in higher overall prices when compared to slightly higher-tier fares. The changes have angered travellers, especially those who depend on lower-cost fare options.

“Carriers are free to charge whatever they like. It costs $35 now, $60 next week, and $100 next week.

Sign of the Times

Airlines expert John Gradek said, “Nobody is keeping an eye on these things; it’s based on what the market can bear.” “These fees are not yet complete. They can take additional actions to further nickel-and-dime passengers travelling on domestic routes.

As part of its continuous efforts to strengthen air passenger rights in Canada, the federal government has committed to examining how these changes would affect consumers. Travellers are advised to study the tariff information carefully to prevent unforeseen fees.

“It’s a shame that Air Canada has decided to join the likes of Porter and WestJet in charging people for carry-on bags for the lowest fare type and it’s a sign of the times that Air Canada is afraid of losing market shares and wants to basically maximise its revenue by having these cheap airfares with a whole bunch of additional revenues coming in,” Gradek says.

“It’s not a stretch to think that the government, within its regulation, can start to provide oversight and management of the way in which these airlines are putting these fees into the marketplace.”

Meanwhile, on April 2, 2025, Air Canada will begin nonstop flights between Vancouver and Manila. The direct service will operate using a Boeing 787 Dreamliner four times a week.

In a statement, executive vice president for revenue and network planning Mark Galardo stated, “The Philippines is an important market reflecting long-standing family ties between our two countries with growing business connections and tourism opportunities.”

He noted that Air Canada is making travel between North America and the Philippines even more convenient for business and leisure travellers with its vast domestic and trans-border network in Vancouver, built to easily link to the airline’s international flights.

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Unemployment in Canada Hits 6.8% to an 8 Year High

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Canada's unemployment rate increased to 6.8% in November, a near eight year high.

The Canadian dollar fell Friday due to a sharp increase in Canada’s unemployment rate, but the greenback recovered overall, putting USD/CAD above 1.4150. The USD/CAD pair has reached its highest daily close in years.

The drop in the number of loonies follows Statistics Canada’s announcement that, under Justin Trudeau’s leadership, the unemployment rate has increased to its highest level since January 2017.

Canada’s economic stagnation and ongoing issues with homelessness and poverty are the main causes of the country’s high unemployment rate. As the wealth gap between the United States and Canada grows, the nation is also experiencing a flight of investment capital across some industries.

Federal Conservatives claimed, “Justin Trudeau has devastated Canada’s economy,” in a news statement on Friday. “Canada’s labour force grew by 137,800, which is more than double the gains in jobs,”

Since April 2023, Canada’s unemployment rate has risen by 1.7%.

“Worse still, this report showed that only 12% of new jobs were created in the private sector,” the Conservatives argued.

This is a direct effect of Trudeau’s relentless taxation and bureaucratic red tape, which have attacked private companies and industries. Because of Trudeau’s failing policies, Canada has lost more than $500 billion in foreign investment.

According to Conservatives, despite a 600,000 rise in the working population, Canada only added 329,000 jobs in the past year.

The third quarter GDP slowed significantly to 1% annualized, while Canada’s GDP per capita has been declining for six consecutive quarters, according to another Statistics Canada data released last week.

However, a Scotiabank economist has cautioned about Canada’s delayed government budget update. The Liberal government’s silence means Canadians may not receive a national update until after Christmas.

Rebekah Young, an economist at the Bank of Nova Scotia, said in a note on Wednesday that there are even speculations “swirling” that there won’t be a fiscal update. “It’s not clear when — or even if — it will come before the holidays, but the writing is mostly on the wall,” Young said.

She stated, ” More spending is clearly in the offing ” regarding the Liberals’ recently announced GST vacation and $250 rebate checks for working Canadians.

The House of Commons approved the GST component of that $6.3 billion economic stimulus package on November 28.

She stated, “the balance and then some is expected to keep Canadians from the polls a bit longer.”

The Liberals are financing the stimulus package to maintain the support of the New Democratic Party and prevent a vote of no-confidence.

As evidence of the government’s economic restraint, Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland promised in the 2024 budget that government expenditures would not exceed a $40.1 billion deficit in 2023–2024.

But the Parliamentary Budget Officer recently cautioned that the government has probably overreached itself.

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TikTok Ban Upheld By US Federal Appeals Court

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The U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit denied TikTok’s petition to overturn the law

The United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit has upheld a lower court’s ban on TikTok, forcing it to cut ties with its Chinese parent business, ByteDance or face suspension.

TikTok and ByteDance, the second plaintiff in the complaint, are now expected to appeal to the US Supreme Court, but it is uncertain whether the court would hear the case.

“The Supreme Court has an established historical record of protecting an individual’s right to free expression, and we expect them to do so on this critical constitutional issue,” TikTok spokesperson Michael Hughes told AP.

“Unfortunately, the TikTok ban was conceived and pushed through based upon inaccurate, flawed and hypothetical information, resulting in outright censorship of the American people,”

Hughes stated. Unless stopped, he claimed, the act “will silence the voices of over 170 million Americans here in the US and around the world on January 19th, 2025.”

Trump TikTok Ban

Though the issue is in court, President-elect Donald Trump would likely hand the two firms a lifeline. Trump attempted a TikTok ban during his first term but stated during the presidential campaign that he is now opposed.

President Joe Biden signed the measure in April, capping a years-long saga in Washington over the short-form video-sharing app. Due to its ties to China, the government views it as a national security danger.

“Today’s decision is an important step in blocking the Chinese government from weaponising TikTok to collect sensitive information about millions of Americans, to covertly manipulate the content delivered to American audiences, and to undermine our national security,” Merrick Garland, the attorney general, said in a statement.

On Friday, a federal appeals court panel upheld a statute that might result in a TikTok ban in the United States within a few months. Here’s what you should know.

The United States has expressed worry that TikTok is gathering huge amounts of user data, particularly sensitive information about watching patterns, which may fall into the hands of the Chinese government through pressure.

Officials have also cautioned that the proprietary algorithm that drives what users view on the app is susceptible to manipulation by Chinese authorities, who can use it to alter information on the platform in difficult-to-detect ways. The European Union raised similar concerns on Friday as it probed intelligence, suggesting Russia may have abused the platform to influence Romania’s elections.

TikTok, which sued the government over the law in May, has long disputed that Beijing could use it to spy on or control Americans.

TikTok’s counsel has correctly stated that the US has not given proof demonstrating that the business gave over user data to the Chinese government or changed material for Beijing’s benefit in the US.

They have also contended that the statute is based on future threats, which the Department of Justice has emphasized, citing unnamed actions the two businesses allegedly took in the past in response to Chinese government demands.

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