Politics
Justin Trudeau Should Step Down After Humiliating By-Election Loss
Doubts about Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s leadership grew this week after his Liberal Party suffered a second humiliating loss in a by-election. Sadly the highly unpopular leader is determined to stay in office despite 78% of Canadians wanting him to step down.
According to the Economic Times, the Liberals, who have been in power for nearly nine years, lost a close election on Monday in a Montreal constituency that had previously been one of the party’s safest seats.
The result, which followed a defeat in Toronto in late June, reinforced the view that the Liberals’ chances in the next national election are bleak. The mandate for Trudeau’s minority administration expires at the end of October 2025, but an early election has become more plausible as the tiny New Democratic Party withdraws its support.
Even still, Trudeau gave no indication on Tuesday that he might step away before the next election campaign. And the party’s ability to force him out is restricted.
Trudeau Tanking in the Polls
Although polls show the Liberals will lose heavily to the official opposition right-of-center Conservatives in the next election due to dissatisfaction with inflation and the housing crisis, Trudeau and his closest aides insist he is not going anywhere and has time to help the party recover.
His major immediate difficulty is that he has lost control of the House of Commons, where the Liberals command only a small number of seats. The left-leaning NDP inked a contract in 2022 to maintain the Liberals in power, but they reneged on it this month.
The NDP boosted its vote share in Montreal while keeping a seat in Manitoba, despite a stiff Conservative assault. The Liberals face several confidence votes from legislators in the coming months, and a failure would result in an election, though the NDP may choose to keep the government afloat until it can boost its own popularity.
Maintaining a minority government is challenging, and it is unknown how far Trudeau can push his legislative program. On Monday, the Liberals announced that they will prioritise defence and citizenship issues.
Trudeau Facing Pressure to Resign
Unlike in the United States, where President Joe Biden resigned as Democratic presidential candidate in favour of Vice President Kamala Harris, Trudeau has no easy path to pass over authority.
According to one top Liberal, if polls continue to show Trudeau’s unpopularity, key ministers may pressure him to resign. However, the Liberal, who sought anonymity due to the sensitivity of the matter, stated that there was no assurance Trudeau, who sources describe as stubborn, would listen.
Tradition demands that a stand-in must be chosen from among parliamentarians, ruling out former Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney, who has been considered as a prospective Trudeau replacement.
According to party custom, the interim leader does not run for permanent replacement. That might prevent cabinet heavyweights like Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland and Innovation Minister Francois-Philippe Champagne from aspiring to succeed Trudeau in the near future.
Regardless, Frank Graves, president of the Ekos polling agency, believes that changing leaders may not improve Liberal prospects.
Trudeau Grapples With a Mass Exodus of Senior Staff
Politics
Millennials in Canada Have Turned their Backs on Justin Trudeau
Justine Trudeau and his Liberal Party are currently engaged in a fierce battle for second place against Jagmeet Singh’s socialist NDP, as both parties find themselves trailing by 20 points behind Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives.
A recent poll indicates that 38% of Canadians consider Trudeau to be the most ineffective leader the nation has encountered in over fifty years. An impressive 47% of Canadian Millennials indicated they would support Poilievre if an election were to take place today, while nearly half of all Canadians express a desire for an election to be called this year.
Pierre Poilievre’s strong appeal among young voters can be attributed primarily to economic factors: soaring inflation, a pressing cost-of-living crisis, and the challenge of housing affordability are pushing many away from the Liberals, who have held power for nearly nine years.
According to UnHeard, Millennials are increasingly distancing themselves from Trudeau due to his stringent measures aimed at controlling the internet to combat alleged disinformation, as well as his climate change initiatives, notably the carbon tax.
An increasing number of Canadians are becoming aware of Trudeau’s ineffective policies and his approach to mass immigration. This past summer, there was significant outrage among parents of teenagers and young adults as they observed their children remaining at home without jobs.
The primary concern stemmed from the fact that most low-skilled and entry-level positions were being filled by unskilled, temporary foreign workers, predominantly from India.
There has been a notable rise in criminal activities linked to international students and unvetted temporary residents who are becoming involved with Punjabi gangs in Canada, contributing to a surge in auto thefts nationwide.
Pierre Poilievre and the Conservatives are actively seeking to alter Trudeau’s approach to mass immigration and prioritize the construction of more housing should they come into power.
Significantly, Pierre Poilievre is perceived as more trustworthy than Trudeau, with over half of Canadians characterizing Poilievre as “open and honest about his actions, decisions, and intentions,” while only 39% share that sentiment regarding Trudeau.
The characteristics in question may shed light on Poilievre’s favorable polling, particularly among younger voters and women, who have historically leaned towards the Liberals or the NDP rather than the Conservatives.
The Liberal Party’s support has dwindled to an estimated 7% of Canadians, revealing a significant number of disillusioned voters eager for transformation. Poilievre is emerging as the type of leader that resonates with the desires of many Canadians.
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Trudeau Now Using Abortion Scare Tactics to Recapture Voters
Despite Abortion being legal throughout the pregnancy with no criminal restrictions in Canada, Justin Trudeau is now trying to use abortion as a fear tactic to recapture voters as his popularity tanks.
On Saturday Trudeau warned that only he can protect access to abortion despite the fact that Canada is one of the few nations with no criminal restrictions on abortion which is publicly funded under the federal Canada Health Act and provincial health-care systems.
Justin Trudeau’s abortion rhetoric comes as Democrats south of the border are counting on abortion rights to carry them to victory this fall in election races across the country.
Now Trudeau is trying to employ the same abortion fear tactic used by US democrats to try and distract Canadians away from his failing policies and his tanking poll numbers in Canada.
According to a Leger poll, the Conservatives hold a 20-point lead over the Liberals. If an election were conducted today, Pierre Poilievre and the Conservatives would receive 44% of the popular vote, Justin Trudeau and the Liberals 24%, and Jagmeet Singh and the NDP 17%.
Furthermore, 64% of respondents disapprove of Trudeau’s job as prime minister, while only 28% approve. While, 62% of Canadians feel Trudeau should resign, including 33% of Liberals, with only 23% believing he should remain.
David Coletto, CEO of Abacus Data, shared a picture on social media demonstrating that when Quebec is removed from the equation, things get even worse for Justin Trudeau and the Liberals.
According to Abacus, in the remainder of Canada, the Conservatives have 50% of the vote, the NDP has 22%, and the Liberals have only 19%.
What was particularly noteworthy about the Angus Reid poll was their comparison of Liberal fortunes in metropolitan areas where the Liberals usually perform well, Brian Lilley of the Toronto Sun reports.
According to Lilly, the Liberals’ support has dropped by double digits in Vancouver, Winnipeg, Toronto, and Montreal in the previous two years.
He claims that the byelections in Toronto-St. Paul’s and LaSalle-Emard-Verdun, in which the Liberals lost, were not isolated events, and that, according to an Angus Reid poll, the Liberals’ popularity in Toronto’s core has declined from 43% in 2022 to 33% now.
That puts the Liberals slightly behind the Conservatives, who are polling at 34% in Toronto’s core, he says.
In Toronto’s suburbs, the news is considerably worse for Trudeau, but much better for Poilievre. Voters in the 905 region surrounding Toronto are leaning firmly blue, with 45% planning to vote Conservative and 31% supporting the Liberals.
The Conservatives have 37% support in Winnipeg, followed by the NDP at 36% and the Liberals at 23%.
In Metro Vancouver, the Conservatives are substantially ahead, with the Liberals trailing severely in third place. On Canada’s so-called “left coast,” the Conservatives had 40% support in the Vancouver area, 30% for the NDP, and only 21% for the Liberals.
In reality, Trudeau is bringing American politics into the Canadian domain, as he always does when there is negative news.
As the American presidential race dominates the news cycle, Lilly believes Trudeau will begin to compare Poilievre to Donald Trump in the coming weeks.
Trudeau and the Liberals have been attempting to make that connection for more than a year, but it has failed with Canadians who recognise the assertion as nothing more than a Liberal falsehood.
Voters are increasingly tuning out and rejecting the Trudeau government. As this trend continues, Trudeau will make ever more ridiculous assertions in an attempt to frighten voters back into the Liberal camp.
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Trudeau Calls Quebec Premier a Liar Over Mass Immigration
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has accused Quebec’s premier of lying and saying this he has said he “knows aren’t true” about mass immigration.
His statement comes after Premier François Legault requested the Bloc Québécois to back the Conservatives’ non-confidence motion to overthrow Trudeau’s government, claiming that Trudeau has done nothing to halt mass immigration into Quebec.
“It is a shame to hear the (premier) of Quebec sharing things and declarations on immigration that he simply knows are not true,” Trudeau said in Montreal with French President Emmanuel Macron on Thursday.
“We have worked together constructively, or we have certainly worked with members of his team constructively, over the past many, many months to take action in response to the challenges around immigration in Quebec.”
Despite the Bloc’s refusal to vote against Trudeau in the no-confidence vote, Legault has proposed making immigration a ballot-box question in the next federal election. He has asked all parties to promise to reducing the number of non-permanent residents in his province by half.
Trudeau stated on Thursday that his government has worked to limit the number of newcomers by closing a popular asylum seeker pathway, reimposing a visa requirement on visiting Mexican nationals, and limiting the number of new temporary workers and international students who arrive in the country.
Trudeau then shifted the burden to the provinces, claiming that while he has moved, his provincial counterparts have yet to submit a plan for reducing the temporary workers under provincial authority.
Premier Legault stated that in the last two years, the number of temporary immigrants in Quebec under Trudeau’s immigration policy has doubled to 600,000 from 300,000, putting a strain on housing, schools, and public services.
Last month, Quebec’s premier placed a six-month moratorium on some low-wage temporary foreign worker applications in Montreal, but recognised that the move would only cut the number by around 3,500.
He has frequently urged Trudeau to lower the number of non-permanent residents subject to federal control from approximately 420,000 to 210,000, as well as to delegate additional immigration authorities to Quebec.
Legault was also in Montreal on Thursday for his own meeting with Macron, but he did not respond to reporters’ questions as he left.
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