Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau faces an uncertain future after the small party that has helped keep his Liberal minority government in power withdrew its automatic support on Wednesday.

The blow is the latest in a string of political setbacks and errors that have harmed Trudeau’s popularity.

According to recent surveys, his Liberals would be defeated by the official opposition Conservatives in an election scheduled for the end of October 2025.

The withdrawal of the left-leaning New Democratic Party from its deal with the Liberals could result in an election months early.

Jagmeet Singh, the leader of Canada’s fourth-place NDP, announced this week that he will run for prime minister in the next election.

A working agreement with the New Democratic Party has helped the Liberals maintain control of Canada’s Parliament. Now, the party’s head is cancelling the pact and dumping Justin Trudeau, dealing a blow to the struggling prime minister.

Political pressure, a lack of traction for the pact, and Trudeau’s surprise intervention in a union dispute brought an early end to an accord that had maintained the minority Liberal government in power for the previous two and a half years.

The surprise move has prepared Canadians for the potential that the next election could take place sooner than expected, leaving the prime minister with little time to restore his political footing.

“We know that makes the election timing more uncertain, and frankly more likely,” New Democratic Party Leader Jagmeet Singh stated this week. “We are ready to fight an election whenever it happens.”

Everyone anticipated the governing accord would fail eventually, but the unexpected breach drove Canada’s political class into a frenzy, seeking to find out what prompted Singh to act so quickly.

Trudeau’s socialist counterpart

Last month, the Liberal administration intervened to quickly resolve a labour dispute that had brought national rail services to a halt, along with a portion of foreign trade.

The decision to interfere left a bad taste in the mouth of Trudeau’s socialist counterpart in Parliament.

Singh chastised the government for putting the union and two rail corporations through binding arbitration, admitting that this was one of the reasons for his departure from the Liberal Party.

Singh’s fourth-place party first signed the arrangement in spring 2022, giving the Liberals automatic backing in Parliament, where Trudeau’s party is outnumbered and could topple if he loses the support of a majority of members of Parliament.

The agreement was set to expire in June 2025, giving Trudeau a timetable for how long he would govern before needing to go to the polls. In exchange, Singh obtained progressive policy victories in social programs, such as prescription medicine coverage for diabetes treatment and contraception, labour rights, and dental care for routine procedures for certain groups, including seniors and children.

These measures have so far failed to benefit either leader politically, while the arrangement has sparked dissatisfaction inside their own parties.

Until this week, the NDP’s fortunes were tied to Trudeau’s sinking ship, which explains Singh’s desire to break free.

According to Leichnitz, the party brain trust felt strongly that the NDP needs to distinguish itself from the Liberals by “pivoting back to issues that are a little bit more favourable for us and, frankly, not being pulled down by Trudeau’s terrible national numbers.”

For the past year, polling aggregator 338Canada has consistently shown Trudeau 20 points behind his main rival, Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, citing problems plaguing incumbent governments around the world: high housing costs, battered health-care systems and unmanageable petrol and grocery bills.

Singh has consistently behind Trudeau and is expected to lose seats.

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Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau emphasised he does not want an early election and said he will want to work with his former partner just hours after the New Democratic Party (NDP) withdrew from an agreement it had with the current Liberal Party Government.

“I look forward to conversations with Mr. (Jagmeet) Singh about how we’re going to continue to demonstrate that confident countries invest in their citizens, invest in their future, because that’s what we’re doing,” Trudeau said, addressing the media in the town of Rocky Harbour, in the province of Newfoundland and Labrador. That declaration came shortly after Jagmeet Singh, who has been in power since March 2022, declared his party was leaving the Supply and Confidence Agreement.

As in previous years, Trudeau continued, “I’ll let others focus on politics, but I will point out that I really hope the NDP stays focused on how we can deliver for Canadians, rather than focusing on politics.”

With Trudeau’s party in the minority in the Commons, the opposition Conservative Party is preparing to call for an early election through the possibility of a no-confidence resolution when the House reconvenes on September 18.

The timing of the motion is still unknown, according to reports from Pierre Poilievre, the leader of the Conservative Party, who stated, “At this time, we don’t have a calendar to indicate when we can put forward a motion.”

“After Sellout Singh did this stunt today, he is going to have to vote on whether he keeps Justin Trudeau’s costly Government in power,” he stated, putting further pressure on the NDP.

“I certainly hope that the NDP will stay true to its fundamental values, which is making sure that Canadians get the support they need and keeping away from the austerity, the cuts, and the damage that will be done by Conservatives if they get the chance,” stated Trudeau, expressing optimism that early elections can be avoided.

October 2025 will see Canadian federal elections, but Trudeau’s Liberals only have 154 members of the 338-member House. It had made it through until Wednesday morning thanks to the backing of the 25-member NDP caucus.

Posting a video message on Wednesday, Singh claimed to have “ripped up” the accord and stated that “Canadians are fighting a battle.” A struggle for the middle class’s future. Justin Trudeau has often demonstrated his willingness to give up to corporate greed. People feel let down by the Liberals. From Canadians, they don’t deserve another opportunity.

The news coincided with the Trudeau Government’s severe unpopularity, which has negatively impacted the NDP. The non-profit public polling organisation Angus Reid Institute, or ARI, released a survey indicating that the Conservatives have 43% of the vote, a significant 22% lead over the ruling party.

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Vice President Kamala Harris, the Democratic nominee for the US presidential election in November, called on her Republican opponent Donald Trump to debate her with their microphones turned on during the event.

Kamala Harris and the former president have agreed to debate on September 10th, which will be hosted by ABC News.

“Donald Trump is giving in to his aides, who refuse to allow him to debate with a live microphone. “If his own team doesn’t believe in him, the American people certainly won’t,” Kamala Harris wrote on X.

“We’re running for President of the United States. Let’s have a transparent debate, with microphones on the whole time.”

Trump has stated that he prefers to keep his microphone on and did not like it muted at the last debate against then-candidate Joe Biden.

So-called “hot mics” can help or hinder political campaigns by recording off-hand comments that were not intended for the public. Muted microphones also restrict debaters from interrupting their opponents.

A spokeswoman from ABC did not immediately reply to a request for comment.

The discussion would be the first between Harris and Trump since Biden stepped out of the presidential race following a dismal performance at a CNN debate in June that prompted concerns about his mental acuity.

Tim Walz, the Democratic vice presidential candidate, and JD Vance, the Republican vice presidential candidate, have agreed to a CBS News debate on October 1.

ORIGINAL STORY: Why Kamala Harris Campaign is fighting for Unmuted Debate Mics

Some experts believe the Trump campaign’s eagerness to maintain the muting rule for the Kamala Harris debate on September 10 is because to the great reception he received in June for a more controlled performance than many had anticipated versus Mr Biden. In practice, it rendered interruptions impossible.

The former president, on the other hand, appears unconcerned with the regulation, and has even contradicted his own team’s statements advocating for its continuation. “[It] does not matter to me. I’d prefer to have [the microphones] turned on,” he stated on Monday.

“But we agreed that it would be the same as the last time. “In that case, it was muted,” he explained.

Trump announced on social media Tuesday afternoon that he had “reached an agreement” with ABC for the September 10 debate. He did not mention mics in the post, but did say that the “rules will be the same as the last CNN debate,” which included muted mics.

In the article, he also accused the network of being “unfair,” but added that his team had been guaranteed that the debate would be “fair and equitable.”

With only two weeks until the debate, the Kamala Harris team wants to change the agreed-upon regulations so that both candidates’ microphones are unmuted during the event. What do they believe they will benefit from this change?

More broadly, they feel it has the potential to show viewers an unfiltered, even irritable, Trump, who will be audible throughout Kamala Harris’s speech.

“Our understanding is that Trump’s handlers prefer the muted microphone because they don’t think their candidate can act presidential for 90 minutes on his own,” said Kamala Harris’s spokeswoman.