Business

US Faces Economic Uncertainty Over the Decline of the US Dollar

Published

1 year ago

2023-04-05

US Faces Economic Catastrophe with De-Dollarization of the US Dollar

The US is facing an economic catastrophe as the use of the US dollar as a global currency may fall to 40-45% within 2-3 years because of international trading with a new BRICS currency.

The United States experienced an economic catastrophe in March 2023. One of the most famous American banks, Silicon Valley Bank, ranked one of the top 20 banks in the United States with over $215 billion in assets, went bankrupt. The bank incurred a $1.8 billion loss due to the interest rate increase on US Treasury securities.

Days later, New York-based Signature Bank, with over $110 billion in assets, failed because its deposits exceeded the maximum permissible limits of the US Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, while First Republic Bank, with over $215 billion in assets, saw its share price fall by 67% and Western Alliance Bancorporation fell by 90%.

Also, almost every major private bank in the United States has had its credit ranking downgraded. Before all of this, Silvergate Bank, another cryptocurrency-related institution, failed due to liquidity problems in the first week of March 2023.

Global demand for the US dollar falling

The manner American financial institutions are collapsing one after the other portends the Western superpower’s economic doom. These banks have a singular explanation for their failure, and it is related to the interest rate on US Treasury bonds.

As global demand for the US dollar falls, so do these bonds, and to keep them afloat, banks are forced to give higher interest rates, which eats into their liquidity.

When renowned economist Dr. Nouriel Roubini, also known as ‘Dr. Doom,’ who accurately predicted the 2008 global recession, not only predicts another global economic collapse but also warns that problems will last for a long period, possibly a decade or more.

De-dollarization would be one of the primary causes of the impending recession. Once thought to be the sole currency for global commerce, the US dollar is losing its luster and being replaced by other currencies.

Naturally, it will significantly affect the American economy and may lead to an economic disaster for the world’s leading superpower.
Let us attempt to grasp the concept of de-dollarization.

Historically, the value of any currency has been determined by the assets held by the nation issuing that currency. Until about a century ago, the British Pound was the most valuable worldwide currency, not the US Dollar.

Following World War I, America, which escaped relatively unscathed because the war was not fought on its soil and got the lion’s share of wartime gold reserves, began to replace the pound as a global trade currency.

The Bretton Woods Agreement

In 1944, the United States implemented the Bretton Woods Agreement, which promoted bilateral commerce in US dollars. Surprisingly, by the late 1960s, it was thought that keeping US dollars was more profitable than holding stocks or gold. As a result, its hoarding was widespread not only among people but also among countries.

After the London Gold Pool was disbanded in 1970, the Bretton Woods Agreement was nearly null and void, and Asian economies began to recover. On the other hand, the United States was confronting a negative balance of payment crisis due to massive Cold War and Vietnam War expenditures.

President Nixon canceled the US dollar’s convertibility into gold in 1971, detaching it from the worth of his country’s assets. As a result, the value of the US dollar was now determined by worldwide demand rather than assets held by the US government.

The advent of ‘Petro Dollars increased demand for the greenback, and to meet the demand, the US began printing more and more dollars.

Because the United States was the largest contributor to worldwide institutions such as the IMF and the World Bank, all payments were made in US dollars. Consequently, developing or underdeveloped countries were compelled to trade in US dollars with other countries. By the late 1990s, nearly 90% of worldwide trade was conducted in US dollars.

Bilateral currency swap agreements

Hoarding grew, and more money was printed to meet the demand. Today, instead of nearly $500 billion in US gold reserves, they have released nearly $4 trillion in hard currency and $38 trillion in US treasury bonds, nearly 80 times the total assets of the US Treasury.

The US believed that because its currency was in high demand in the market, it would continue to cruise on its artificial bubble. It has produced war-like situations worldwide in recent years, compelling countries to purchase more weapons, fuel, and other items from the global market, promoting trade in US dollars.

The Information Technology (IT) boom of the 1990s boosted demand even more because most of the top IT firms were American, and nearly 80% of the IT industry was based in the United States. American sanctions were also imposed on bilateral currency swap agreements between nations to discourage trade in other currencies.

Since 2014, when the US imposed economic sanctions on Russia and created roadblocks in its trade in US dollars, countries have considered alternatives to using the US currency.

The introduction of the Euro also assisted nations in breaking the US dollar’s monopoly. Over the last eight years, many nations have signed bilateral agreements to avoid a situation similar to Russia’s. Russia and China created payment gateways, and India and Russia signed a similar arrangement that linked the Reserve Bank of India and Russia’s Sistema Peredachi Finansovykh Soobscheniy. (SPFS).

The US dollar’s share has fallen.

Meanwhile, nations such as Brazil, China, Australia, Argentina, Egypt, the European Union (EU), Iran, Japan, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), and Turkey signed bilateral treaties to break the monopoly of the US dollar.

As a result, the total circulation of the US dollar worldwide decreased considerably, as has greenback stockpiling. According to one estimate, the US dollar’s worldwide trade has dropped by more than 20% in the last four years.

This is evident in the International Monetary Fund’s foreign currency assets, where the US dollar’s share has fallen from 71% in 1999 to 57% in 2021 and is expected to fall further.

The net cascading impact on the worldwide circulation of the US dollar will be significant. The worldwide use of the US dollar as a currency is anticipated to fall to 40-45% within the next 2-3 years.

The Euro, previously traded below the US dollar, now has the upper edge. Russia trades in Ruble against its cheap oil, while other nations trade in Chinese Yuan, Japanese Yen, Saudi Riyal, and UAE Dirham. India also trades in the Indian Rupee with over 44 nations.

Innovation

NASA Astronauts Arrive For Boeing’s First Human Spaceflight

Published

12 hours ago

2024-04-26

Kiara Grace

AP - VOR News ImageGetty Images - VOR News Image

The location is Cape Canaveral, Florida. On Thursday, the two NASA astronauts designated for Boeing’s inaugural manned space mission arrived at the launch site approximately one week before their planned departure.

Butch Wilmore and Suni Williams have been selected as test pilots for Boeing’s Starliner capsule, marking its inaugural crewed mission following significant delays. On Thursday, they traveled by air from Houston to Kennedy Space Center.

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NASA Astronauts Arrive For Boeing’s First Human Spaceflight

Scheduled for launch on May 6 using an Atlas rocket, the Starliner spacecraft will go to the International Space Station for a week-long test mission. Boeing is endeavoring to close the gap with SpaceX, which has been conducting manned space missions for NASA since 2020.

Boeing’s two earlier Starliner test flights were unmanned. The initial launch in 2019 was unsuccessful in reaching the space station due to software malfunctions and other technical issues. Boeing replicated the demonstration in 2022. In more recent times, the capsule encountered problems with its parachutes and had to address the issue of flammable tape that needed to be eliminated.

Wilmore emphasized that this is a test flight intended to uncover any anomalies.

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NASA Astronauts Arrive For Boeing’s First Human Spaceflight

Do we anticipate flawless execution? “This is the inaugural manned voyage of the spacecraft,” he informed the press. “I am confident that we will discover information.” This is the reason why we engage in this activity.

NASA enlisted the services of SpaceX and Boeing ten years ago, allocating billions of dollars to facilitate the transportation of personnel to and from the space station. Despite the space station’s planned closure by 2030, the space agency remains enthusiastic about procuring capsules from two rival businesses to transport its astronauts.

“That is of utmost importance,” Wilmore remarked.

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NASA Astronauts Arrive For Boeing’s First Human Spaceflight

Wilmore and Williams are set to become the inaugural astronauts to embark aboard an Atlas rocket since NASA’s Project Mercury in the early 1960s.

SOURCE – (AP)

Business

The TikTok Law Kicks Off A New Showdown Between Beijing And Washington. What’s Coming Next?

Published

13 hours ago

2024-04-26

Kiara Grace

AP - VOR News Image

WASHINGTON – TikTok is preparing to engage in a legal battle against a U.S. legislation that would compel the social media platform to sever its connections with its China-based parent company. Chinese authorities likely support this action, as the intense rivalry between the United States and China jeopardizes the future of a highly popular online platform for young Americans to connect.

Beijing has indicated that TikTok should resist what it perceives as a “robbers” move by U.S. politicians who aim to seize all the valuable assets possessed by others. If a judicial challenge is unsuccessful, experts believe that Chinese authorities are unlikely to permit a sale, as this may be interpreted as yielding to Washington.

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The TikTok Law Kicks Off A New Showdown Between Beijing And Washington. What’s Coming Next?

Alex Capri, a senior lecturer at the National University of Singapore and research fellow at Hinrich Foundation, suggests that Beijing is concerned about the negative implications that the U.S. action against the popular short-form video platform could have, as it may establish an undesirable precedent. “If Beijing surrenders to the United States, what will be the ultimate outcome?”

Parent firm ByteDance issued its first formal comment on the new rule in a post on Toutiao, a Chinese news app owned by the company. The statement explicitly mentioned that ByteDance has no intention of selling TikTok. In response to media reports, the firm based in Beijing addressed the speculation around exploring potential possibilities for selling TikTok’s U.S. business.

The legislation that U.S. President Joe Biden signed this week may allow Washington to extend its reach to target other China-related apps, such as the well-known e-commerce platform Temu, according to Hu Xijin, a former editor-in-chief for the party-run newspaper Global Times. Furthermore, it could encourage U.S. allies to take similar actions.

According to Hu, a political commentator, TikTok, with its 170 million American users, should display more courage and determination by refusing to give up and fighting until the very end.

TikTok has pledged to contest the recently enacted U.S. legislation that mandates ByteDance to sell off its ownership interests within a one-year timeframe in order to prevent a ban. The corporation has described the regulation as a violation of the freedom of expression of its users, the majority of whom utilize the program for amusement purposes.

The company expressed confidence in its position, stating that it firmly thinks the facts and the law support its case, and they are confident in its ultimate victory.

The dispute around TikTok has escalated the tensions between the United States and China, as both countries have pledged to safeguard their economic and national security concerns. U.S. legislators are apprehensive about the Chinese ownership of the application, as it may potentially enable Beijing to exercise undesirable influence on the United States, particularly on the impressionable minds of young individuals.

Washington has achieved a series of triumphs in reducing the influence of Chinese corporations through bans, export controls, and forced divestitures. This has led to protests from Beijing, who believe that the U.S. is intentionally trying to suppress China’s economic growth through coercion.

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The TikTok Law Kicks Off A New Showdown Between Beijing And Washington. What’s Coming Next?

The United States has previously compelled Chinese corporations to sell off their assets. For instance, in 2020, Beijing Kunlun, a Chinese mobile video game company, agreed to divest itself of the gay dating app Grindr following a directive from the federal government. However, TikTok, which was developed by a Chinese corporation exclusively for the international market, serves as a prominent example of China’s technological prowess on a worldwide scale. Beijing is determined not to relinquish control over this influential platform.

Gabriel Wildau, managing director of Teneo, a consultancy and advisory firm based in New York, stated that national dignity is at risk and may be prioritized over the financial interests of ByteDance investors, especially global investors with a 60% stake in the company.

The corporation is anticipated to mount a legal battle that will heavily rely on First Amendment considerations and has the potential to be protracted for several years. Analysts assert that Beijing is relying on a favorable legal outcome.

The course of action to be taken if TikTok fails to succeed is currently under discussion with the Chinese authorities, according to Dominic Chiu, an analyst with Eurasia Group. Chiu stated that President Xi Jinping, who has the authority to approve or disallow the transaction, has likely yet to make the definitive choice.

Fortunately for Xi, Beijing does not face any immediate pressure to decide, according to Sun Yun, the director of the China program at the Stimson Center in Washington. “There is a possibility for numerous alterations,” she stated.

If lawmakers’ desire for a sale of TikTok is fulfilled, the procedure is expected to be complicated for the company. TikTok would need to separate its activities in the United States from all other aspects of its business.

Firstly, the cost of acquiring TikTok’s U.S. operations, although undisclosed, is anticipated to be substantial enough to significantly restrict the number of potential investors and companies capable of affording it. Several investors, including former Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin, have already positioned themselves as potential purchasers of a U.S. iteration of TikTok. According to market tracker Pitchbook, ByteDance, a privately held company, has a valuation of $220 billion.

There is now a lack of clarity on the fate of the TikTok algorithm, which is the secret formula responsible for delivering personalized short videos to users depending on their preferences. This algorithm has played a significant role in establishing TikTok as a dominant force in popular culture.

ByteDance would be prohibited from having control over the algorithm of a U.S. subsidiary of TikTok. According to many experts, Chinese authorities are likely to prohibit the sale of the technology that appears in people’s TikTok feeds, based on the amended export regulations of 2020. After the federal courts blocked former President Donald Trump’s attempt to outlaw TikTok through an executive order, this revision took place.

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The TikTok Law Kicks Off A New Showdown Between Beijing And Washington. What’s Coming Next?

According to certain individuals, including Mnuchin, it is necessary to reconstruct TikTok in the United States by employing novel technology. However, it is uncertain how this will manifest or how effectively it will replicate the kind of video suggestions that viewers have become accustomed to.

According to Robin Burke, a professor of information science at the University of Colorado Boulder, certain elements of the algorithm might potentially be duplicated by individuals within the company. However, he also observed that TikTok has certain areas where it outperforms its competition, making it difficult to replicate.

“TikTok possesses extensive experience and a wealth of data,” Burke stated. “I believe it is improbable for a U.S. company, without inheriting the technology from its parent company, to construct something of equal caliber.” Definitely not immediately.

SOURCE – (AP)

Electronics

FTC Sends $5.6 Million In Refunds To Ring Customers As Part Of Video Privacy Settlement

Published

1 day ago

2024-04-25

Kiara Grace

AP - VOR News Image

The backslash character – escapes special characters in programming languages and other contexts. The following information is from a news article published by the Associated Press: Due to a settlement with Amazon-owned Ring, the Federal Trade Commission is giving consumers over $5.6 million in reimbursements. Ring was accused of neglecting to safeguard private video data against unauthorized access.

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FTC Sends $5.6 Million In Refunds To Ring Customers As Part Of Video Privacy Settlement

The FTC complained in 2023, alleging that the doorbell camera and home security provider permitted its employees and contractors to gain access to consumers’ confidential videos. Ring purportedly utilized this film for algorithmic training without obtaining authorization, among other objectives.

Ring was additionally accused of neglecting to install crucial security measures, thereby allowing hackers to get control over customers’ accounts, cameras, and footage. The FTC observed that this resulted in severe breaches of users’ privacy.

The final settlement necessitated Ring to remove unlawfully acquired content, implement enhanced security measures, and pay a substantial penalty. The FTC is currently utilizing a significant portion of the funds to provide refunds to qualifying Ring customers.

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FTC Sends $5.6 Million In Refunds To Ring Customers As Part Of Video Privacy Settlement

As per a notice issued on Tuesday, the FTC will be delivering 117,044 PayPal payments to consumers who were affected and owned specific types of Ring devices, such as interior cameras, during the periods when unlawful access is claimed to have occurred.

Customers who meet the requirements must claim these payouts within 30 days, as stated by the FTC. The FTC also mentioned that consumers can reach out to Rust Consulting, the refund administrator for this case, or refer to the FTC’s FAQ page on refunds for further details regarding the procedure.

Ring has stated that unauthorized individuals used stolen email addresses and passwords from other companies to gain unlawful access to certain customers’ Ring accounts in 2019. This occurred because these customers used the same login credentials on multiple websites. Upon discovering this breach, Ring promptly notified the affected customers and took measures to safeguard their accounts.

Ring did not promptly respond to the FTC’s accusations regarding employees and contractors inappropriately viewing footage.

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FTC Sends $5.6 Million In Refunds To Ring Customers As Part Of Video Privacy Settlement

In a recent announcement, the California-based company confirmed that it will no longer accept requests from police agencies to access doorbell camera footage from its users. This decision effectively terminates a controversial function that had faced scrutiny from privacy advocates.

SOURCE – (AP)