Business
US Faces Economic Uncertainty Over the Decline of the US Dollar
The US is facing an economic catastrophe as the use of the US dollar as a global currency may fall to 40-45% within 2-3 years because of international trading with a new BRICS currency.
The United States experienced an economic catastrophe in March 2023. One of the most famous American banks, Silicon Valley Bank, ranked one of the top 20 banks in the United States with over $215 billion in assets, went bankrupt. The bank incurred a $1.8 billion loss due to the interest rate increase on US Treasury securities.
Days later, New York-based Signature Bank, with over $110 billion in assets, failed because its deposits exceeded the maximum permissible limits of the US Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, while First Republic Bank, with over $215 billion in assets, saw its share price fall by 67% and Western Alliance Bancorporation fell by 90%.
Also, almost every major private bank in the United States has had its credit ranking downgraded. Before all of this, Silvergate Bank, another cryptocurrency-related institution, failed due to liquidity problems in the first week of March 2023.
Global demand for the US dollar falling
The manner American financial institutions are collapsing one after the other portends the Western superpower’s economic doom. These banks have a singular explanation for their failure, and it is related to the interest rate on US Treasury bonds.
As global demand for the US dollar falls, so do these bonds, and to keep them afloat, banks are forced to give higher interest rates, which eats into their liquidity.
When renowned economist Dr. Nouriel Roubini, also known as ‘Dr. Doom,’ who accurately predicted the 2008 global recession, not only predicts another global economic collapse but also warns that problems will last for a long period, possibly a decade or more.
De-dollarization would be one of the primary causes of the impending recession. Once thought to be the sole currency for global commerce, the US dollar is losing its luster and being replaced by other currencies.
Naturally, it will significantly affect the American economy and may lead to an economic disaster for the world’s leading superpower.
Let us attempt to grasp the concept of de-dollarization.
Historically, the value of any currency has been determined by the assets held by the nation issuing that currency. Until about a century ago, the British Pound was the most valuable worldwide currency, not the US Dollar.
Following World War I, America, which escaped relatively unscathed because the war was not fought on its soil and got the lion’s share of wartime gold reserves, began to replace the pound as a global trade currency.
The Bretton Woods Agreement
In 1944, the United States implemented the Bretton Woods Agreement, which promoted bilateral commerce in US dollars. Surprisingly, by the late 1960s, it was thought that keeping US dollars was more profitable than holding stocks or gold. As a result, its hoarding was widespread not only among people but also among countries.
After the London Gold Pool was disbanded in 1970, the Bretton Woods Agreement was nearly null and void, and Asian economies began to recover. On the other hand, the United States was confronting a negative balance of payment crisis due to massive Cold War and Vietnam War expenditures.
President Nixon canceled the US dollar’s convertibility into gold in 1971, detaching it from the worth of his country’s assets. As a result, the value of the US dollar was now determined by worldwide demand rather than assets held by the US government.
The advent of ‘Petro Dollars increased demand for the greenback, and to meet the demand, the US began printing more and more dollars.
Because the United States was the largest contributor to worldwide institutions such as the IMF and the World Bank, all payments were made in US dollars. Consequently, developing or underdeveloped countries were compelled to trade in US dollars with other countries. By the late 1990s, nearly 90% of worldwide trade was conducted in US dollars.
Bilateral currency swap agreements
Hoarding grew, and more money was printed to meet the demand. Today, instead of nearly $500 billion in US gold reserves, they have released nearly $4 trillion in hard currency and $38 trillion in US treasury bonds, nearly 80 times the total assets of the US Treasury.
The US believed that because its currency was in high demand in the market, it would continue to cruise on its artificial bubble. It has produced war-like situations worldwide in recent years, compelling countries to purchase more weapons, fuel, and other items from the global market, promoting trade in US dollars.
The Information Technology (IT) boom of the 1990s boosted demand even more because most of the top IT firms were American, and nearly 80% of the IT industry was based in the United States. American sanctions were also imposed on bilateral currency swap agreements between nations to discourage trade in other currencies.
Since 2014, when the US imposed economic sanctions on Russia and created roadblocks in its trade in US dollars, countries have considered alternatives to using the US currency.
The introduction of the Euro also assisted nations in breaking the US dollar’s monopoly. Over the last eight years, many nations have signed bilateral agreements to avoid a situation similar to Russia’s. Russia and China created payment gateways, and India and Russia signed a similar arrangement that linked the Reserve Bank of India and Russia’s Sistema Peredachi Finansovykh Soobscheniy. (SPFS).
The US dollar’s share has fallen.
Meanwhile, nations such as Brazil, China, Australia, Argentina, Egypt, the European Union (EU), Iran, Japan, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), and Turkey signed bilateral treaties to break the monopoly of the US dollar.
As a result, the total circulation of the US dollar worldwide decreased considerably, as has greenback stockpiling. According to one estimate, the US dollar’s worldwide trade has dropped by more than 20% in the last four years.
This is evident in the International Monetary Fund’s foreign currency assets, where the US dollar’s share has fallen from 71% in 1999 to 57% in 2021 and is expected to fall further.
The net cascading impact on the worldwide circulation of the US dollar will be significant. The worldwide use of the US dollar as a currency is anticipated to fall to 40-45% within the next 2-3 years.
The Euro, previously traded below the US dollar, now has the upper edge. Russia trades in Ruble against its cheap oil, while other nations trade in Chinese Yuan, Japanese Yen, Saudi Riyal, and UAE Dirham. India also trades in the Indian Rupee with over 44 nations.
Telsa second-quarter profit fell more than 40% from the previous year as the electric car business faced more EV competition from established automakers and a slowing in global EV sales growth.
The decline in income is a dramatic contrast to a corporation that developed to become the world’s most valuable automobile based on rising sales and profitability.
The findings highlight how Tesla, a pioneer in introducing electric vehicles to American drivers, is now facing more domestic and international competition. And as the EV market matures, customer interest in EVs has declined.
Tesla | Auto Guide
Tesla Stock Tumbles After Its Profit Plunged
Tesla (TSLA) shares plunged almost 12% on Wednesday morning, pushing down the broader market. Tesla’s stock was down roughly 1% this year through Tuesday’s close after plunging as much as 44% earlier in the year.
Tesla announced adjusted earnings of $1.8 billion in the quarter or 52 cents per share. Analysts expected 61 cents per share earnings, down from 91 cents the previous year. Its crucial profit margin fell substantially as a series of EV price cuts took its toll.
From April to June, the company had its second consecutive quarter of year-over-year sales decreases and its first consecutive quarter of dropping sales volume. Tesla’s only previous quarterly sales decline since going public occurred early in the pandemic when stay-at-home orders caused its plants to close.
Tesla did not provide a new sales target for the full year. However, it stated: “In 2024, our vehicle volume growth rate may be notably lower than the growth rate achieved in 2023.”
On the investor’s call following the announcement, Tesla CEO Elon Musk criticized the quality of EVs produced by other manufacturers, claiming that it was simply a short-term issue for Tesla and not a long-term one. He added that Tesla is still persuaded that the world is going towards fully electric transportation systems, not just for automobiles, planes, and ships.
Musk also stated that the business would provide more information on fully automated robotaxis in October rather than August as initially intended. The business calls its driver assistance feature “Full Self Driving,” but drivers must still be prepared to take control of the vehicle. According to the company’s earnings statement, Tesla still confronts regulatory and technical challenges before offering self-driving cars.
Musk stated that he still believes it is possible to reach by the end of this year and certainly by next year, but cautioned: “My predictions on this have been overly optimistic in the past.”
Tesla | Top Gear Image
Tesla Stock Tumbles After Its Profit Plunged
The company faces government probes into several of Musk’s boasts about Full Self-Driving capabilities. The company has also been the subject of a Department of Justice investigation, though it is unclear what the current situation is.
However, he disclosed that Tesla’s plans to build an assembly factory in Mexico had been placed on hold. The plans were disclosed more than a year ago, but Musk said they have been halted until after the presidential election due to Republican contender Donald Trump’s vow to impose taxes on Mexican-imported vehicles. Musk is a big Trump booster, having endorsed him and reportedly pledged tens of millions of dollars to the former president’s re-election campaign. Trump promised comparable duties on Mexican-made autos in 2019 but has yet to follow through.
SOURCE – CNN
(VOR News) – Over the Bitcoin course of the last twenty-four hours, the sum of money that has been liquidated in short positions for Bitcoin BTC +4.71% has increased to more than $34 million.
This is a significant increase from the previous state of affairs. The fact that Bitcoin, the digital asset with the highest market capitalisation, has broken beyond the barrier of $67,000 is the reason for this new development.
Nashville, Tennessee will host this year’s Bitcoin Conference.
According to the website of the conference, the former president of the United States is set to make an appearance on the Nakamoto Stage on July 27 at 2:00 p.m. Central Time for a session that will last thirty minutes.
This information is indicated on the website. Yesterday, on the final day of the conference, the session is scheduled to take place.
As a direct result of the increase in the price of bitcoin that took place during the course of the previous day, a total of holdings representing a value of 54 million dollars were sold off.
As a consequence of the increased volatility of the market, the cryptocurrency market as a whole went through liquidations that amounted to more than two hundred million dollars within the same time period. This is evidenced by the data that were provided by Coinglass.
The information that is provided by The Block’s Bitcoin Price Page reveals that the current value of Bitcoin is around $67,330 at the time that this article is being written and published.
This information is provided by The Block. Over the course of the past twenty-four hours, there has been an increase that is greater than five percent.
President Trump will invest in bitcoin by 2024.
Because of the keynote presentation that he will deliver at Bitcoin 2024, Donald Trump will create history by becoming the first candidate for the presidency of the United States of America to visit a conference of this kind that is sponsored by the industry.
This will be something that he will accomplish by attending Bitcoin 2024. In spite of the fact that there is a little amount of information available concerning the specifics of his discussion, the organisers have already claimed that it will be “historic.”
Throughout the course of his presidency, President Trump has adopted a variety of perspectives about a wide range of cryptocurrencies, including bitcoin and others from the same category.
He voiced his disapproval of cryptocurrencies on Twitter in July 2019, saying, “I am not a fan of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, which are not money and whose value is highly volatile and based on thin air.”
He was referring to the fact that certain cryptocurrencies are not money. His hatred for these cryptocurrencies has been made clear in his statements.
Specifically, he expressed his discontent with the bitcoin market.
Which was the subject of his expression. This viewpoint was reiterated by him in 2021, when he gave an interview to Fox Business in which he referred to the digital asset as a hoax and voiced his concern that it may compete with the United States dollar or other currencies. In addition, he expressed his concern that it could be used to compete with other currencies.
Nevertheless, throughout the course of the last six months, Trump has rebuilt himself as the “crypto president.” The fact that he chose Ohio Senator JD Vance, who is an investor in bitcoin, to be his vice presidential candidate lends credence to the notion that a Donald Trump presidency may be advantageous to cryptocurrencies.
This is an extra point of interest that is worth mentioning. Bitcoin is an investment that Vance has made.
During the course of the previous day, the dominance of Bitcoin increased slightly to 52.8%, as indicated by the data that were provided by Coingecko. On the other hand, the dominance of ether decreased slightly to 15.5%.
Indicative of the fact that Bitcoin’s dominance rose, both of these data are indicative of reality. After reaching its highest position, the GM 30 Index, which is comprised of a selection of the top 30 cryptocurrencies, witnessed a climb of 3.08% within the same time period, hitting 133.99.
This was after the index had reached its highest peak.
SOURCE: TBN
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(VOR News) – Sanstar shares made a quiet Dalal Street debut on Friday, which was less than market participants had anticipated as a consequence of their expectations.
However, the number of buyers rose significantly following the stock’s listing, suggesting that investors are interested in purchasing the company at reduced prices.
At Rs 109 per share, Sanstar shares were offered on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) at a premium of approximately 15%. The stock was listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) at a premium of 12 percent over the issue price of Rs 95 per share.
Nevertheless, the stock attained a price of Rs 127.68, achieving a 20% upper circuit and bringing the cumulative profits to 34.4 percent over the price at which it was initially issued.
The majority of analysts continue to maintain a positive outlook on the company and suggest that investors remain invested in the stock for a period of time that varies from medium to long term.
On the other hand, there are some experts who suggest that investors record profits after achieving a respectable profit during the initial trading session.
A successful initial public offering (IPO) was achieved by Sanstar
The company’s shares are currently trading at Rs 109 per share, an increase of 15% from their issue price of Rs 95.
This performance is positive, according to Shivani Nyati, Head of Wealth at Swastika Investmart; however, it fails to satisfy the expectations that were established prior to the listing. The broader market volatility that ensued subsequent to the budget’s announcement was a contributing factor.
Sanstar has been listed, which is a fantastic development, despite the fact that it did not meet the initial hype.
The company’s future expansion is supported by the interest of investors and the company’s robust foundations. Investors have the option to maintain their stake at the issue price, according to her.
Sanstar’s initial public offering (IPO) had the potential to be subscribed between July 19 and July 23, as the business issued its shares at a price range of Rs 90-95 per share, with a lot size of 150 shares.
Sanstar’s follow-on offering yielded a total of Rs 510.15 crore in revenue. This offering comprises a wholly new share sale of up to 397.10 equity shares and an offer-for-sale of up to 1.19 crore equity shares.
Sanstar got a 15% premium because of demand.
Which contributed to the company’s successful launch on the bourses today. According to Prathamesh Masdekar, Research Analyst at StoxBox, Sanstar has established enduring relationships with its consumers and currently serves more than 525 customers, with 162 new customers joining during fiscal year 24.
“The company is committed to expanding its customer base by leveraging the relationships it has established with customers in India and around the world, while simultaneously actively seeking out opportunities to establish new relationships.
“”Because of this, we recommend to the market participants that they keep the shares for a period of time ranging from the medium to the long term,” according to him.
A total of 82.99 subscriptions were received from consumers worldwide for the Sanstar issue. The quota for qualified institutional vendors (QIBs) was satisfied 145.68 times during the auction.
A remarkable 136.50 percent of the quota that was designated for non-institutional investors was subscribed to. The portions that were specified for retail investors were only subject to requests for bids 24.23 times during the three-day bidding procedure.
Sanstar’s listing was lower than anticipated, despite the fact that markets were trending upward. Prashanth Tapse, Senior Vice President of Research at Mehta Equities, maintains that designated investors should record profits on the day of listing, despite the market’s optimistic outlook.
Compared to other listed peers, Sanstar’s valuations are a little higher.
Sanstar is a manufacturer in India that specialises in the manufacturing of plant-based products and ingredient solutions for industrial products, pet food, and food.
Pantomath Capital Advisors served as the exclusive book-running lead manager for Sanstar’s initial public offering (IPO), while Link Intime India served as the registrar.
According to Amit Goel, Co-Founder and Chief Global Strategist at Pace 360, the market volatility in the Indian markets resulted in Sanstar shares failing to meet pre-listing expectations. Sanstar shares were listed on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) at a price of Rs 109.
We strongly recommend that investors take profits in the near term following the completion of the listing. He continues, “It is advised that long-term investors maintain their positions in the company due to its strong fundamentals.”
SOURCE: BTN
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