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US Faces Economic Uncertainty Over the Decline of the US Dollar

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US Faces Economic Catastrophe with De-Dollarization of the US Dollar

The US is facing an economic catastrophe as the use of the US dollar as a global currency may fall to 40-45% within 2-3 years because of international trading with a new BRICS currency.

The United States experienced an economic catastrophe in March 2023. One of the most famous American banks, Silicon Valley Bank, ranked one of the top 20 banks in the United States with over $215 billion in assets, went bankrupt. The bank incurred a $1.8 billion loss due to the interest rate increase on US Treasury securities.

Days later, New York-based Signature Bank, with over $110 billion in assets, failed because its deposits exceeded the maximum permissible limits of the US Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, while First Republic Bank, with over $215 billion in assets, saw its share price fall by 67% and Western Alliance Bancorporation fell by 90%.

Also, almost every major private bank in the United States has had its credit ranking downgraded. Before all of this, Silvergate Bank, another cryptocurrency-related institution, failed due to liquidity problems in the first week of March 2023.

Global demand for the US dollar falling

The manner American financial institutions are collapsing one after the other portends the Western superpower’s economic doom. These banks have a singular explanation for their failure, and it is related to the interest rate on US Treasury bonds.

As global demand for the US dollar falls, so do these bonds, and to keep them afloat, banks are forced to give higher interest rates, which eats into their liquidity.

When renowned economist Dr. Nouriel Roubini, also known as ‘Dr. Doom,’ who accurately predicted the 2008 global recession, not only predicts another global economic collapse but also warns that problems will last for a long period, possibly a decade or more.

De-dollarization would be one of the primary causes of the impending recession. Once thought to be the sole currency for global commerce, the US dollar is losing its luster and being replaced by other currencies.

Naturally, it will significantly affect the American economy and may lead to an economic disaster for the world’s leading superpower.
Let us attempt to grasp the concept of de-dollarization.

Historically, the value of any currency has been determined by the assets held by the nation issuing that currency. Until about a century ago, the British Pound was the most valuable worldwide currency, not the US Dollar.

Following World War I, America, which escaped relatively unscathed because the war was not fought on its soil and got the lion’s share of wartime gold reserves, began to replace the pound as a global trade currency.

The Bretton Woods Agreement

In 1944, the United States implemented the Bretton Woods Agreement, which promoted bilateral commerce in US dollars. Surprisingly, by the late 1960s, it was thought that keeping US dollars was more profitable than holding stocks or gold. As a result, its hoarding was widespread not only among people but also among countries.

After the London Gold Pool was disbanded in 1970, the Bretton Woods Agreement was nearly null and void, and Asian economies began to recover. On the other hand, the United States was confronting a negative balance of payment crisis due to massive Cold War and Vietnam War expenditures.

President Nixon canceled the US dollar’s convertibility into gold in 1971, detaching it from the worth of his country’s assets. As a result, the value of the US dollar was now determined by worldwide demand rather than assets held by the US government.

The advent of ‘Petro Dollars increased demand for the greenback, and to meet the demand, the US began printing more and more dollars.

Because the United States was the largest contributor to worldwide institutions such as the IMF and the World Bank, all payments were made in US dollars. Consequently, developing or underdeveloped countries were compelled to trade in US dollars with other countries. By the late 1990s, nearly 90% of worldwide trade was conducted in US dollars.

Bilateral currency swap agreements

Hoarding grew, and more money was printed to meet the demand. Today, instead of nearly $500 billion in US gold reserves, they have released nearly $4 trillion in hard currency and $38 trillion in US treasury bonds, nearly 80 times the total assets of the US Treasury.

The US believed that because its currency was in high demand in the market, it would continue to cruise on its artificial bubble. It has produced war-like situations worldwide in recent years, compelling countries to purchase more weapons, fuel, and other items from the global market, promoting trade in US dollars.

The Information Technology (IT) boom of the 1990s boosted demand even more because most of the top IT firms were American, and nearly 80% of the IT industry was based in the United States. American sanctions were also imposed on bilateral currency swap agreements between nations to discourage trade in other currencies.

Since 2014, when the US imposed economic sanctions on Russia and created roadblocks in its trade in US dollars, countries have considered alternatives to using the US currency.

The introduction of the Euro also assisted nations in breaking the US dollar’s monopoly. Over the last eight years, many nations have signed bilateral agreements to avoid a situation similar to Russia’s. Russia and China created payment gateways, and India and Russia signed a similar arrangement that linked the Reserve Bank of India and Russia’s Sistema Peredachi Finansovykh Soobscheniy. (SPFS).

The US dollar’s share has fallen.

Meanwhile, nations such as Brazil, China, Australia, Argentina, Egypt, the European Union (EU), Iran, Japan, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), and Turkey signed bilateral treaties to break the monopoly of the US dollar.

As a result, the total circulation of the US dollar worldwide decreased considerably, as has greenback stockpiling. According to one estimate, the US dollar’s worldwide trade has dropped by more than 20% in the last four years.

This is evident in the International Monetary Fund’s foreign currency assets, where the US dollar’s share has fallen from 71% in 1999 to 57% in 2021 and is expected to fall further.

The net cascading impact on the worldwide circulation of the US dollar will be significant. The worldwide use of the US dollar as a currency is anticipated to fall to 40-45% within the next 2-3 years.

The Euro, previously traded below the US dollar, now has the upper edge. Russia trades in Ruble against its cheap oil, while other nations trade in Chinese Yuan, Japanese Yen, Saudi Riyal, and UAE Dirham. India also trades in the Indian Rupee with over 44 nations.

Geoff Thomas is a seasoned staff writer at VORNews, a reputable online publication. With his sharp writing skills and deep understanding of SEO, he consistently delivers high-quality, engaging content that resonates with readers. Thomas' articles are well-researched, informative, and written in a clear, concise style that keeps audiences hooked. His ability to craft compelling narratives while seamlessly incorporating relevant keywords has made him a valuable asset to the VORNews team.

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Freeland Dodges Media After Omitting Capital Gains Tax Adjustment from 2024 Budget

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Freeland Dodges Media After Omitting Capital Gains Tax
Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland Refuses Questions: Getty Images

The Liberal government’s resolution to introduce Budget 2024 in the House earlier today did not include Chrystia Freeland’s proposed capital gains tax adjustments.

These measures, which include raising the capital gains inclusion rate from half to two-thirds, increasing the Lifetime Capital Gains Exemption, and creating a new incentive for entrepreneurs, have sparked strong opposition from the country’s technology elite.

During a news conference today, Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland reiterated the federal government’s support for these policies but declined to answer journalists’ inquiries about why they were not included in today’s motion. It now looks that Freeland intends to seek approval from Parliament through separate legislation.

“We are very committed to the capital gains measures that we put forward in the budget,” said Freeland, who added that “further details and implementing legislation will be forthcoming,” but did not provide a particular date or explain why they were absent from today’s motion.

When asked if she had removed these capital gains tax provisions from this bill to compel the Conservatives to vote on this specific issue, Freeland replied, “No,” and grinned.

The motion contains several of the other measures outlined in Budget 2024. The federal government restated its plans for the new capital gains measures to take effect on June 25, but has yet to provide draft legislation or a detailed technical briefing on these changes.

Capital Gains Tax a Political Football

Ben Bergen, president of the Council of Canadian Innovators, told BetaKit that it is unclear whether implementing capital gains changes through separate legislation is a “political football,” or if it simply indicates that the government has “not done its homework” on what the capital gains changes will mean for the economy.

“[This government] really struggles at some of the most basic elements of execution, and whether or not they’re able to deliver it on the 25th [is a] question mark,” Bergen told CNN. “But given what we’ve seen so far from this government over the last eight years, don’t hold your breath.”

“One simple reason for not including the capital gains tax changes in the budget implementation bill is that the government has not yet written them,” CD Howe Institute CEO William Robson told BetaKit.

“The budget provided only additional details on the rules before the higher rates go into effect on June 25th. “We may not have clarity even then,” Robson warned. “The government might believe this is smart politics. “It’s bad tax policy.”

BetaKit has contacted the Ministry of Finance for comment on why these changes were excluded from today’s motion, when it intends to share the full details of these changes and introduce legislation to support them, and whether such legislation is expected to be implemented by June 25, when the changes are scheduled to take effect.

Canadian tech executives outraged

These capital gains tax adjustments are intended to fund billions of dollars in new expenditure on housing and other priorities while also increasing tax equity between middle-class and wealthy Canadians. Freeland referred to them as the “fiscal foundation” for the government’s other investments.

“Our view is it is absolutely fair to ask those in our country who are at the very top to contribute a little bit more, and that is why we put forward a plan—which we are absolutely committed to—to increasing the capital gains inclusion rate,” Freeland said in a statement.

However, many Canadian tech executives are outraged by them: over 2,000 have signed an open letter urging the federal government to reconsider, claiming that they will hinder tech entrepreneurship and investment while exacerbating Canada’s already-existing productivity difficulties.

In a recent op-ed for The Globe and Mail, Robson stated that the next two months will likely be a “scramble” as the government attempts to issue the rules before June 25. Robson said that the government should “back up the budget’s capital gains tax proposals with rules or abandon them.”

Robson also remarked that the government may not be concerned about completing its deadline. “The June implementation of a higher inclusion rate that is retroactive—affecting past gains, not just those that accrue in the future—matters more to its revenue plans than the permanent changes,” Robson stated in an email.

Bergen noted that putting the capital gains measures to a vote suggests the government is attempting to “line up political parties” by positioning the Conservatives to vote against the reforms. On the other hand, he speculated that given the extensive—but not universal—backlash from Canadian tech executives and others, the government may be aiming to “remove the problem child” from the budget.

Bergen stated that the impact of these measures on businesses, employees, and investors will be highly depending on how the new laws are implemented. “The fact that we have so much ambiguity and chaos in this process is again just another indication of where this government is,” he said.

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Ford Recalls Maverick Pickups In US Because Tail Lights Can Go Dark, Increasing The Risk Of A Crash

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Motor Sport - VOR News Image

Dearborn, Michigan – Ford recalls almost 243,000 Maverick compact pickup trucks in the United States because their taillights may not glow.

According to the firm, a computer can mistakenly identify too much electricity in one or both tail lamps, forcing them to remain dark while the vehicles are driving. This can increase the likelihood of a crash.

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Le Auto – VOR News Image

Ford Recalls Maverick Pickups In US Because Tail Lights Can Go Dark, Increasing The Risk Of A Crash

The recall applies to certain pickups from the 2022 to 2024 model years.

Ford said it has received no reports of crashes or injuries due to the problem. Headlights, turn signals, and brake lights will continue to work.

According to documents uploaded Wednesday on the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration website, dealers will update software to resolve the issue at no cost to owners. Notification letters will be mailed beginning May 20.

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AP – VOR News Image

Ford Recalls Maverick Pickups In US Because Tail Lights Can Go Dark, Increasing The Risk Of A Crash

Ford trucks are renowned for their rugged durability and reliable performance. They’re designed to tackle the toughest jobs, whether hauling heavy loads or navigating challenging terrain.

With a wide range of powerful engines and robust chassis, Ford’s truck lineup offers the muscle and capability needed for demanding tasks.

These trucks boast tough body-on-frame construction and high-strength steel frames, ensuring they can withstand the rigors of hard work. From the iconic F-150 to the heavy-duty Super Duty series, Ford’s trucks deliver impressive towing and payload capacities, making them ideal for contractors, ranchers, and anyone with serious hauling needs.

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The Globe – VOR News Image

Ford Recalls Maverick Pickups In US Because Tail Lights Can Go Dark, Increasing The Risk Of A Crash

Inside, Ford trucks prioritize functionality and comfort. The spacious cabins offer ample room for crew and gear, while user-friendly tech and convenience features enhance productivity. With their legendary Ford Tough attitude, these trucks are ready to do the job right, day in and day out.

SOURCE – (AP)

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What Marijuana Reclassification Means For The United States

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AP - VOR News Image

Washington — The United States Narcotic Enforcement Administration is considering reclassifying marijuana as a less harmful narcotic. The Justice Department’s proposal would recognize cannabis’ medical purposes but not legalize it for recreational use.

The proposal would shift marijuana from the “Schedule I” category to the less stringent “Schedule III.”

So, what does this mean, and what are the implications?

Technically, nothing has happened. The White House Office of Management and Budget must first examine the idea, followed by a public comment period and an administrative judge’s assessment, which could be a lengthy process.

Nonetheless, the change is considered “paradigm-shifting, and it’s very exciting,” Vince Sliwoski, a Portland, Oregon-based cannabis and psychedelics attorney who runs well-known legal blogs on those topics, told The Associated Press when the federal Health and Human Services Department recommended it.

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AP – VOR News Image

What Marijuana Reclassification Means For The United States

“I can’t emphasize enough how big of news it is,” he said.

It came after President Joe Biden last year requested that HHS and the attorney general, who controls the DEA, investigate how marijuana was classified. Schedule I legalized it alongside heroin, LSD, quaaludes, and ecstasy, among other substances.

Biden, a Democrat, is in favor of legalizing medical marijuana “where appropriate, consistent with medical and scientific evidence,” White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre said on Thursday. “That is why it is important for this independent review to go through.”

No. Schedule III medicines, such as ketamine, anabolic steroids, and several acetaminophen-codeine combos, are still considered controlled narcotics.

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AP – VOR News Image

What Marijuana Reclassification Means For The United States

They are subject to a variety of restrictions that allow for some medical usage as well as federal criminal punishment of anyone who traffics in the medications illegally.

Medical marijuana programs, which are already regulated in 38 states, and legal recreational cannabis markets in 23 states are expected to remain unchanged, but they are unlikely to meet federal production, record-keeping, prescribing, and other Schedule III drug criteria.

There haven’t been many federal prosecutions for simply possessing marijuana in recent years, even with marijuana’s existing Schedule I designation, but reclassification would have no immediate impact on those currently in the criminal justice system.

“Put simply, this shift from Schedule I to Schedule III is not keeping people out of jail,” said David Culver, senior vice president of public relations of the United States Cannabis Council.

However, rescheduling would have an impact, especially on research and marijuana business taxes.

Because marijuana is classified as a Schedule I substance, it has been extremely difficult to undertake permitted clinical trials involving its administration. This has produced a Catch-22 situation: there is a need for further study, but there are hurdles to doing so. (Sometimes, scientists rely on people’s claims of marijuana use.)

Schedule III medications are easier to study, although reclassification would take time to remove all hurdles to research.

“It’s going to be really confusing for a long time,” says Ziva Cooper, director of the University of California, Los Angeles Center for Cannabis and Cannabinoids. “When the dust has settled, I don’t know how many years from now, research will be easier.”

Among the unknowns include whether academics will be permitted to study marijuana from state-licensed shops and how the federal Food and Drug Administration would regulate this.

Some researchers remain optimistic.

“Reducing the schedule to schedule 3 will allow us to conduct research with human subjects using cannabis,” said Susan Ferguson, director of the University of Washington’s Addictions, Drug, and Alcohol Institute in Seattle.

Firms involved in “trafficking” marijuana or any other Schedule I or II substance are not allowed to deduct rent, payroll, or other expenses that other firms can. (Yes, despite the federal government’s prohibition on marijuana, at least some cannabis firms, particularly those permitted by states, pay federal taxes.) According to industry associations, tax rates frequently reach 70% or more.

The deduction regulation does not apply to Schedule III medications, so the proposed amendment would significantly reduce cannabis companies’ taxes.

They claim it would treat them like other industries and let them compete with unlawful competitors that frustrate licensees and officials in locations like New York.

“You’re going to make these state-legal programs stronger,” says Adam Goers, an executive at Columbia Care, a medicinal and recreational cannabis provider. He co-chairs a group of corporate and other stakeholders advocating for rescheduling.

According to Beau Kilmer, co-director of the RAND Drug Policy Center, deducting those expenditures could result in greater cannabis marketing and advertising.

Rescheduling would have no direct impact on another marijuana business issue: limited access to banks, particularly for loans, due to federally regulated institutions’ concerns about the drug’s legal status. Instead, the sector has focused on the SAFE Banking Act. It has frequently passed the House but is stuck in the Senate.

marijuana

AP – VOR News Image

What Marijuana Reclassification Means For The United States

Yes, there are, notably the national anti-legalization organization Smart Approaches to Marijuana. President Kevin Sabet, a former Obama administration drug policy official, said the HHS suggestion “flies in the face of science, reeks of politics” and gives a disappointing nod to an industry “desperately looking for legitimacy.”

Some legalization supporters argue that rescheduling marijuana is too modest. They want to keep the focus on totally removing it from the controlled substances list, which does not include alcohol or tobacco (although they are regulated).

According to Paul Armentano, deputy director of the National Organization for the Reform of Marijuana Laws, simply reclassifying marijuana would be “perpetuating the existing divide between state and federal marijuana policies.” According to Kaliko Castille, President of the Minority Cannabis Business Association, rescheduling simply “re-brands prohibition,” rather than giving state licensees the green light and bringing an end to decades of arrests that disproportionately affected people of color.

“Schedule III is going to leave it in this kind of amorphous, mucky middle where people are not going to understand the danger of it still being federally illegal,” the senator stated.

Peltz reported from New York. Associated Press writers Colleen Long in Washington and Carla K. Johnson in Seattle contributed to this story.

SOURCE – (AP)

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